Arizona State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
120  Garrett Seawell SR 31:56
224  Bernie Montoya FR 32:17
245  Ryan Herson SO 32:22
264  Garrett Baker-Slama JR 32:26
268  Steven Schnieders SR 32:27
500  Daniel Wong SO 33:00
550  Jeff Bickert SO 33:06
1,578  Tommy Williams SO 34:39
1,598  Ryan Norton SO 34:41
National Rank #37 of 311
West Region Rank #5 of 32
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 16.6%
Most Likely Finish 5th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 2.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 45.6%
Top 10 in Regional 99.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Garrett Seawell Bernie Montoya Ryan Herson Garrett Baker-Slama Steven Schnieders Daniel Wong Jeff Bickert Tommy Williams Ryan Norton
Roy Griak Invitational (Gold) 09/28 715 31:55 32:17 32:14 32:26 32:25 33:08 33:31 33:43
Mesa Thunderbird Classic 10/12 34:43
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 748 31:58 32:34 32:17 32:23 32:25 32:42 32:59 34:36
Pac-12 Championships 11/02 746 31:46 32:25 32:12 32:37 32:43 33:19 33:09 34:35 37:02
West Region Championships 11/15 743 32:11 31:51 33:11 32:22 32:21 32:57 32:53





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 16.6% 25.5 586 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.7 1.8 2.0 1.7 1.4
Region Championship 100% 6.0 191 0.7 2.6 19.9 22.4 19.1 14.4 9.9 7.1 3.1 0.6 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Garrett Seawell 26.8% 88.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
Bernie Montoya 16.8% 140.4
Ryan Herson 16.7% 151.6
Garrett Baker-Slama 16.6% 161.6
Steven Schnieders 16.6% 162.5
Daniel Wong 16.6% 219.3
Jeff Bickert 16.7% 227.6


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Garrett Seawell 19.6 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.9 3.5 3.6 4.3 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.7 3.8 3.5 3.2 3.0 2.8 3.0 2.3 2.2
Bernie Montoya 35.3 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.8
Ryan Herson 38.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.8 1.6 1.6 2.0
Garrett Baker-Slama 42.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.5
Steven Schnieders 43.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.9 1.4
Daniel Wong 69.1
Jeff Bickert 74.2




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.7% 100.0% 0.7 0.7 2
3 2.6% 78.8% 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 2.1 3
4 19.9% 46.9% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 3.4 10.6 9.3 4
5 22.4% 16.5% 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.6 18.7 3.7 5
6 19.1% 4.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 18.3 0.8 6
7 14.4% 0.6% 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.3 0.1 7
8 9.9% 9.9 8
9 7.1% 7.1 9
10 3.1% 3.1 10
11 0.6% 0.6 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
Total 100% 16.6% 0.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.0 2.2 2.9 5.5 83.4 0.7 15.9




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida 59.3% 1.0 0.6
Georgia 55.0% 2.0 1.1
Dartmouth 23.0% 1.0 0.2
Georgetown 17.7% 1.0 0.2
Minnesota 17.1% 2.0 0.3
Washington 10.2% 1.0 0.1
Tennessee 7.8% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 5.2% 2.0 0.1
Oklahoma 4.4% 1.0 0.0
UCLA 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Michigan State 0.1% 2.0 0.0
Louisville 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Missouri 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.8
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 10.0